Metabolic dysregulation in PAC(V)S — three therapeutic axes
Gracidas C, Levy R, Varon J, Halma MTJ. Lactate, Capnia, and Fat Oxidation as therapeutic axes for SARS-CoV-2 spike protein-induced sequelae. Hormone and Metabolic Research (submitted Nov 2025). Manuscript ID HMR-2025-11-0497.
Axis 1 — impaired beta-oxidation
Fatty acids cannot be burned efficiently → cells default to glycolysis → premature lactate accumulation
Symptom-level
- Exercise intolerance
- PEM at low exertion
- Rapid muscle fatigue
- Metabolic inflexibility
- Normal spirometry and cardiac function
Lab evidence
- ↓ Fat oxidation rate at CPET [16, 50]
- ↑ Acylcarnitines in plasma [51]
- ↓ C2/C3 short-chain acylcarnitines [53, 54]
- ↓ OXPHOS enzymes PDHB, DLST, ACADM [multi-omics]
- ↑ Glycolytic enzymes HK2, GAPDH, PGK1
- Disrupted mitochondria on muscle biopsy [9, 10]
Mechanism
- Spike → SREBP/DGAT1 → lipid droplet diversion [70]
- ORF9b → TOM70 inhibition → impaired mitochondrial protein import [71]
- ↓ TOM20 expression [77]
- Malonyl-CoA → CPT-1 inhibition → ↓ fatty acid entry to mitochondria [5]
- NLRP3/NF-κB cytokines further impair respiration [23–26]
Axis 2 — capnia dysregulation (hypocapnia)
Chronic low CO₂ impairs oxygen unloading via leftward oxyhemoglobin curve shift → tissue hypoxia and cerebral vasoconstriction
Symptom-level
- Breathlessness with normal O₂ saturation
- Brain fog / cognitive impairment
- Dizziness, orthostatic intolerance
- Dyspnea with normal PFTs
- Sighing, yawning, sensation of air hunger
Lab evidence
- ↓ PETCO₂ with normal respiratory rate [62]
- Delayed PETCO₂ recovery on HVPT — all 6/6 patients [Ritter 2024]
- Persisting ventilatory inefficiency at 34 months [59]
- Acute/compensated respiratory alkalosis in 14 patients [119]
- Sensitised carotid chemoreflex [95]
- ↑ intrapulmonary shunt 37%, ↑ alveolar dead space 86% [92]
Mechanism
- GPCR autoantibodies → autonomic dysf. → compensatory hyperventilation
- ↓ CO₂ → leftward oxyhemoglobin curve shift → impaired O₂ release
- Endothelial dysfunction → ↑ vWF, Factor VIII, thrombomodulin [90]
- Sensitised carotid chemoreflex amplifies ventilatory drive [95]
- ↑ alveolar dead space compounds inefficiency [92]
Axis 3 — elevated lactate / reduced lactate threshold
Anaerobic metabolism activated at minimal exertion → early acidosis, muscle pain, and PEM
Symptom-level
- Muscle burning at low workloads
- Fatigue after minimal activity
- PEM triggered by normal exertion
- Reduced anaerobic threshold on CPET
- Muscle pain and myalgia
Lab evidence
- ↑ blood lactate at low workload CPET [16, 18]
- Elevated resting lactate correlates with PEM severity [21]
- ↑ lactate/pyruvate ratio at rest [57]
- ↑ LDH in PASC [58]
- Abnormal lactate accumulation in ME/CFS on 2-day CPET [22]
- ↑ F2-isoprostanes, malondialdehyde [48]
Mechanism
- Mitochondrial damage → shift to glycolysis → premature lactate
- Nsp6 → MGA/MAX → glycolytic switch in cardiomyocytes [27]
- NLRP3 / NF-κB cytokines further impair respiration [26]
- ↓ peripheral O₂ extraction from microvascular dysfunction [87, 88]
- Impaired lactate clearance capacity [20]
All three axes are interdependent and converge on the same triad: fatigue · post-exertional malaise · brain fog.
Axis 1 and 3 are mechanistically coupled (impaired β-oxidation forces glycolysis → lactate). Axis 2 amplifies both by impairing O₂ delivery to already metabolically stressed tissue.
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